Tool 09

Marathon Time Predictor

Estimate a marathon finish-time range from a recent race.

Your inputs● Data stays in this browser

Preparing calculator…

Interpretation

This is an estimated range

The Riegel model assumes sufficient endurance training. A ±5% interval is shown; weather, route, fuelling and pacing can cause larger differences.

Not a diagnosis

For general health education and estimation only. It does not diagnose a condition and is not treatment, medication, diet or training advice.

01

Formula used

T₂ = T₁ × (D₂ / D₁)^1.06

Suitable population

Healthy runners with recent performance over at least 5 km and an established endurance base.

02

When not to use it

Not reliable for new runners, injury recovery, very short tests or runners without long-distance preparation.

Data error and uncertainty

Input accuracy, measurement technique, rounding and individual variation all affect the result. Internal precision is retained and only displayed values are rounded.